Commercial Analytics Director

An exciting career awaits you

At MPC, we’re committed to being a great place to work – one that welcomes new ideas, encourages diverse perspectives, develops our people, and fosters a collaborative team environment.

Position Summary

The Head of Commercial Analytics is a senior strategic role accountable for building and deploying high-integrity models, tools, and insights that inform ST&O trading decisions, scenario planning, and commercial performance optimization. The position oversees two complementary analytical disciplines – fundamental market & asset analysts and quantitative / data-science analysts – integrating their outputs into one coherent decision-support engine. By orchestrating structured analytics across paper and physical strategies, this leader guides desk-level activity through market intelligence, quantitative modeling, and data-driven stress testing. The role requires exceptional coordination across functional stakeholders, ensuring commercial alignment, data reliability, and enterprise-wide insight delivery.

Key Responsibilities

Analytics Strategy & Model Architecture:

- Lead a high-performing, dual‑track analytics organization – fundamental analysts and quantitative analysts – support ST&O trading desks with modeling, pricing tools, and decision frameworks across time, product, and geography.

- Prioritize modeling efforts based on margin impact, trading urgency, and user needs.

- Drive the development of structured models for pricing, exposure, margin attribution, and market stress testing.

- Decide model architecture and methodologies used in desk-facing tools and frameworks.

- Train commercial analysts and junior traders on model usage, application of insights, and scenario navigation.

Forecasting & Decision Support:

- Operate and oversee development of advanced sensing tools and real-time data feeds to guide market outlooks, basis differentials, and forward margin positioning.

- Run scenario planning/stress tests to identify exposure under volatility and optimize trade structures under different market regimes.

- Align models with geo/time arbitrage dynamics, demand signals, and market fit for rack pricing, blending, and regrade planning.

- Embed forecasting logic with VCO and Refining teams to align assumptions around demand shifts, infrastructure utilization, and fuel specifications.

- Track key KPIs such as forecast vs. realized volume/margin, % of trades supported by either fundamental or quantitative tools, and trader satisfaction with analytic coverage.

Asset Alignment & Operational Feasibility:

- Ensure models reflect real-world logistics and asset constraints, coordinating inputs from tankage, storage, and scheduling platforms.

- Integrate asset characteristics and throughput capacity into scenario outputs - ensuring strategies are physically and commercially executable.

- Guide the operationalization of desk insights through timing, asset availability, and infrastructure fit assumptions.

Risk & Compliance:

- Translate model-based outcomes into structured risk and margin logic for integration with Middle Office governance.

- Disseminate analytic conclusions to Finance, Risk, and Planning with shared logic and consistent margin narratives.

- Partner with Credit, Risk, and Trading to align assumptions and incorporate counterparty behavior into commercial models.

- Serve as a cross-functional leader coordinating modeling priorities across Planning, VCO, Scheduling, and Market Intelligence functions.

- Work closely with IT on new model rollouts, tool performance monitoring, and data source governance.

Cross-Functional Interfaces:

- Collaborate with Trading Desks, VCO, and Value Chains to deliver models, align forecast logic, and integrate margin analytics with supply, demand, and planning strategies.

- Partner with Middle Office, MPLX & Logistics, and Refining to ensure alignment on exposure governance, storage and flow modeling, and margin stack analysis across product and asset systems.

Leadership & Organizational Development:

- Champion a culture of precision, curiosity, and structured problem-solving in commercial analytics.

- Manage and mentor fundamental market analysts, quantitative/data‑science and tool development teams, fostering knowledge‑sharing and joint development of reusable toolkits.

- Institutionalize shared logic frameworks for use across commercial teams, ensuring transparency and traceability of assumptions.

- Embed analytics as a core enabler of value creation within trading and physical supply decisions.

Education And Experience

- Bachelor’s degree required; Master’s degree preferred.

- Required: 10+ years in commercial analytics, trading risk modeling, or quantitative energy markets strategy.

- Preferred: At least 7 years in senior commercial analytics leadership with exposure to supporting asset-backed and merchant trading portfolios.

- Preferred: Expertise in building and operationalizing pricing, margin, and exposure models for trading or supply chain environments. Deep familiarity with fundamental market signals, competitor behavior, and real-time data integration.

- Proven ability to lead cross-functional modeling efforts across trading desks, logistics, finance, and technology.

- Strong knowledge of asset capabilities, infrastructure bottlenecks, and margin stack decomposition in refining and logistics systems.

Location: Houston

Relocation: Available

Estimated Travel: Less than 10%

As an energy industry leader, our career opportunities fuel personal and professional growth.

Location:

Houston, Texas

Additional locations:

Job Requisition ID:

00018616

Location Address:

500 Dallas St Ste 2900

Education:

Employee Group:

Full time

Employee Subgroup:

Regular

Marathon Petroleum Company LP is an Equal Opportunity Employer and gives consideration for employment to qualified applicants without discrimination on the basis of race, color, religion, creed, sex, gender (including pregnancy, childbirth, breastfeeding or related medical conditions), sexual orientation, gender identity, gender expression, reproductive health decision-making, age, mental or physical disability, medical condition or AIDS/HIV status, ancestry, national origin, genetic information, military, veteran status, marital status, citizenship or any other status protected by applicable federal, state, or local laws. If you would like more information about your EEO rights as an applicant, click here.

If you need a reasonable accommodation for any part of the application process at Marathon Petroleum LP, please contact our Human Resources Department at talentacquisition@marathonpetroleum.com. Please specify the reasonable accommodation you are requesting, along with the job posting number in which you may be interested. A Human Resources representative will review your request and contact you to discuss a reasonable accommodation. Marathon Petroleum offers a total rewards program which includes, but is not limited to, access to health, vision, and dental insurance, paid time off, 401k matching program, paid parental leave, and educational reimbursement. Detailed benefit information is available at https://mympcbenefits.com.The hired candidate will also be eligible for a discretionary company-sponsored annual bonus program.

Equal Opportunity Employer: Veteran / Disability

We will consider all qualified Applicants for employment, including those with arrest or conviction records, in a manner consistent with the requirements of applicable state and local laws. In reviewing criminal history in connection with a conditional offer of employment, Marathon will consider the key responsibilities of the role.